New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Props (Saturday, July 27)
by Brady Trettenero in MLB Baseball
Updated Jul 27, 2024 · 9:30 AM PDT
Jul 21, 2024; Los Angeles, California, USA; Boston Red Sox pitcher Kutter Crawford (50) throws a pitch against the Los Angeles Dodgers during the first inning at Dodger Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jonathan Hui-USA TODAY SportsWe’ve made our Yankees vs Red Sox prediction for Saturday’s MLB rivalry gameThe Red Sox are slight -120 moneyline favorites over the Yankees (+100) on SaturdayRead below for Yankees vs Red Sox prediction, odds and starting pitchers for July 27th
The New York Yankees (60-45) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (55-47) on Saturday, July 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Boston, MA and the game will be televised on FOX.
The Red Sox are slight -120 moneyline favorites, while the Yankees are +100 underdogs. The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9.5.
Let’s delve into our Yankees vs Red Sox prediction, as we analyze the matchup and MLB betting odds.
Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction
In the series opener on Friday night, the Red Sox staged a late comeback to defeat the Yankees 9-7. Masataka Yoshida delivered the decisive blow with a two-run single in the 8th inning. The atmosphere at Fenway Park was electric as Red Sox fans are recognizing this team’s potential.
Looking ahead to Saturday’s matchup, the Red Sox will send Kutter Crawford to the mound. Crawford had won three straight starts before getting roughed up by the Dodgers in his last outing, allowing six runs and five home runs.
However, he has excellent career numbers against the Yankees, going 4-1 with a 1.96 ERA in 8 appearances. Just a few weeks ago on July 7th, Crawford tossed seven scoreless innings against New York.
CrawfordVSStroman
| 6-8 | Record | 7-5 |
| 3.37 | ERA | 3.51 |
| 117.2 | Innings Pitched | 110.1 |
| 1.054 | WHIP | 1.305 |
| 3.40 | K/BB | OFF |
The Yankees will counter with Marcus Stroman. The veteran righty is still seeking his first win since June 22nd. In his last start against the Rays, he allowed three runs (two earned) in 5.1 innings. Stroman faced the Red Sox at Fenway on June 16th and surrendered four runs.
While the Yankees have the better overall record, the Red Sox hold a 5-2 advantage in the season series. Boston’s bats have been hot lately and they will be fired up playing at home in front of their fans. Crawford’s dominance of the Yankees gives him the edge over Stroman in this pitching matchup.
With all factors considered, my prediction is for the Red Sox to defeat the Yankees again on Saturday night by an approximate score of 6-4. Look for Rafael Devers and Masataka Yoshida to lead the Boston offense.
NYY-BOS Best Bet:
Red Sox ML (-120)
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Yankees vs Red Sox Odds
| Team | Run Line | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees | +1.5 (-200) | +100 | Over 9.5 (-105) |
| Red Sox | -1.5 (+150) | -120 | Under 9.5 (-115) |
The Red Sox being favored on the moneyline at -120 odds implies they have a 54.5% chance of winning the game. Conversely, the Yankees as +100 underdogs have an implied 50% chance of pulling off the upset.
Boston is also favored on the run line at -1.5 (+150). This means they need to win by two or more runs for run line bets on them to cash. The Yankees at +1.5 (-200) can lose by one run (or win outright) for run line bets on their side to pay out.
WHAT. A. GAME.
FINAL: #RedSox 9, Yankees 7#DirtyWater pic.twitter.com/5PsDSLBHt4
— Red Sox (@RedSox) July 27, 2024
The game’s over/under is set at 9.5 runs, with nearly even odds on both sides. The implied probability of the over hitting is 51.2% compared to 53.5% for the under.
Recent results have seen the Red Sox dominate this rivalry. Boston is 5-2 straight up vs New York so far in 2024 and 4-1 in their last five head-to-head meetings.
Kutter Crawford, in particular, has had the Yankees’ number throughout his career. These trends help explain why oddsmakers have installed the Red Sox as favorites.
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Odds as of July 27th at Fanatics Sportsbook. Check out Fanatics sports betting to make a wager on Saturday’s rivalry game.
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Yankees vs Red Sox Player Props
Here are a few player prop bets to consider for Saturday’s game:
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Devers has been on a tear lately and launched his 23rd homer on Friday. He has great career numbers against Stroman. Back Devers to record at least a double or a home run.
Rafael Devers is heating up again.
He’s now 6 for his last 8 with 2 BB.
Red Sox up 2-1! pic.twitter.com/fx68sJYaWO
— Tyler Milliken ⚾️ (@tylermilliken_) July 27, 2024
Kutter Crawford Over 6.5 Strikeouts (+110)
Crawford is averaging over a strikeout per inning on the season. He had 9 Ks in his last start vs the Yankees. The over on his strikeout prop offers solid value.
Aaron Judge Over 0.5 Home Runs (+200)
Judge tagged Crawford for a home run when they faced off on June 16th. He’s always a threat to go deep and these odds are juicy enough to sprinkle a little on this prop.
Yankees vs Red Sox Injury Report
The Yankees injury report includes:
Giancarlo Stanton: 10-Day IL (hamstring)Jose Trevino: 10-Day IL (wrist)
Stanton has been out since late June but may return to the lineup soon without requiring a rehab assignment. His big bat is sorely missed in the middle of the Yankees order.
The Red Sox’s notable injuries are:
Kenley Jansen: Day-to-Day (chest)Trevor Story: 60-Day IL (shoulder)
Jansen is expected to be available out of the bullpen after dealing with a chest issue. Story has been out all season and remains without a clear timeline to return.
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